I’ve written a couple of articles in the last couple of months on the general theme of the abject state of science/health journalism in the mainstream press - see Why is the Indy Shilling for Big Pharma? and Dumbing Down Dementia- the second of which includes this observation:

“…if one wishes to find good quality source material for a good debunking, then I can heartily recommend that you open any newspaper and scour the news sections for the words ‘health correspondent’.”

Today’s proof of that statement comes from the Guardian, and specifically from the current health correspondent, Polly Curtis, who, so far as one can tell from information in the public domain, appears to possess solid credentials as a generic journalist - runner-up in the feature writer of the year category in the 2000 Guardian Student Media Awards, followed by a steady progression through the ranks at the Guardian from ‘contributor’ and journalist to, first, education correspondent and, now, health correspondent, but exhibits precious little to suggest that she is adequately qualified to correctly evaluate and report accurately on the content of specialist research/journal papers in anything other than a superficial manner.

Now I may, conceivably, be being a little harsh in my evaluation of young Polly’s apparent background where, in truth, she is actually packing a raft of GCSEs, A Levels and a degree in the natural and/or social sciences, some of all of which are relevant to the subject at hand (health) but when set against a benchmark of what science/health journalism looks like when written by a real scientist, of the likes of Ben Goldacre, then it would be fair to say that on the evidence of her efforts today, I have my doubts…

Cannabis use linked to 40% rise in risk of schizophrenia

You knew that was coming, didn’t you? Even if you didn’t see this being trailed on Breakfast TV this morning, you just knew that with cannabis/mental health scare stories being the current flavour of the month, there was going to be a very good chance that this would be the subject of Polly’s article.

Smoking cannabis increases the risk of schizophrenia by at least 40% according to research which indicates that there are at least 800 people suffering serious psychosis in the UK after smoking the drug.

Increases the risk of schizophrenia by 40% from what?

What is the risk of developing schizophrenia if you don’t smoke cannabis, and does that risk apply evenly across the whole population or is contingent on other causal or contributory factors that modify the level of base risk according to individual circumstances? Is this 40% figure a measure of the increase in annual risk or lifetime risk?

Without any of that additional information, the assertion that smoking cannabis increases the risk of developing schizophrenia by 40% is entirely meaningless, even if the quoted figure is true. You simply cannot make an informed evaluation of personal risk from such a statement unless you can assess the percentage increase in risk against a known baseline figure.

Mental health groups called on the government last night to issue fresh health warnings and launch an education campaign to advise teenagers that even light consumption of the drug could trigger long-term mental health problems.

Without wishing to sound cynical - well they would, wouldn’t they?

The fact of the matter is that however one views the motives the of the voluntary sector in general, such an education campaign amounts to, at the very least, as sizeable raft of free publicity for these groups to piggyback on - and that’s if the government decides to develop and operate such a campaign in-house. If, on the other hand, its decides to commission in resource materials or outsource delivery then there’s also the prospect of a few nice fat government grants as well.

The findings came after a rush of ministers declared their cannabis-smoking pasts and an order from the prime minister for officials to consider whether the drug should be reclassified amid fears about its more potent “skunk” form. Last night the Home Office said the research would be considered in that review.

And? I suppose that’s a useful bit of filler that describes the political context behind the current moral panic about cannabis use, but it still tells us nothing of real substance.

The study, an analysis published in the Lancet medical journal of previous research into the effects of the drug on tens of thousands of people, provides the most persuasive evidence to date that smoking cannabis can cause mental illness years after people have stopped using it.

Does it?

Let’s see what the Lancet actually has to say, at least in summary (to get the full article requires a subscription or payment of a day rate of $30).

Background

Whether cannabis can cause psychotic or affective symptoms that persist beyond transient intoxication is unclear. We systematically reviewed the evidence pertaining to cannabis use and occurrence of psychotic or affective mental health outcomes.

Fair enough.

The starting point for this research is ‘we’re not sure if there is evidence to support a causal link between cannabis and long-term mental health problems, so lets review the current evidence that’s available’.

It’s a meta-analysis study, which a perfectly valid research technique but one not without its potential problems and pitfalls, which is something I, unfortunately, cannot explore in detail without access to the full article, so for the purposes of this article we’ll take it as read that the study has been competently conducted and provides a valid set of outcomes and conclusions.

Methods

We searched Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, ISI Web of Knowledge, ISI Proceedings, ZETOC, BIOSIS, LILACS, and MEDCARIB from their inception to September, 2006, searched reference lists of studies selected for inclusion, and contacted experts. Studies were included if longitudinal and population based. 35 studies from 4804 references were included. Data extraction and quality assessment were done independently and in duplicate.

Okay, that’s also very useful is as much as it tells use two very important things.

First, given the scope of the publication databases listed as having been searched for suitable studies, it seems highly likely that the data used in the study in not UK specific. Nothing wrong with that, but it does mean that we may find some statistical discrepancies when comparing the output data in this study with actual data from the UK.

Second, this is research is based on data drawn only from longitudinal population studies. Again, there is nothing wrong with that, but what it does tell us is that it’s highly unlikely that the research will be able to provide anything more substantial than indications of any observed correlations between cannabis use and mental health problems - which means that any claims of causation deriving from or attributed to this research need to be regarded sceptically.

Findings

There was an increased risk of any psychotic outcome in individuals who had ever used cannabis (pooled adjusted odds ratio=1·41, 95% CI 1·20–1·65). Findings were consistent with a dose-response effect, with greater risk in people who used cannabis most frequently (2·09, 1·54–2·84). Results of analyses restricted to studies of more clinically relevant psychotic disorders were similar. Depression, suicidal thoughts, and anxiety outcomes were examined separately. Findings for these outcomes were less consistent, and fewer attempts were made to address non-causal explanations, than for psychosis. A substantial confounding effect was present for both psychotic and affective outcomes.

Now that is very interesting, because what the study is reporting - if we assume that baseline for no increased risk is a pool adjusted odd ratio of 1 - is that the 40% increase in risk cited by Curtis applies to ‘any psychotic outcome’ and not just schizophrenia.

There are actually a wide of conditions, diseases and even situations that can give rise to psychotic episodes and outcomes, ranging from the psychological (schizophrenia, bi-polar disorders, severe clinical depression and/or stress) to the organic (brain tumours, multiple sclerosis, Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, syphilis - in rare cases even influenza and mumps can induce psychotic episodes) to the broadly self-inflicted, which includes cannabis but also covers a wide range of other drugs that can, and do, have psychoactive effects ranging from dear old alcohol through a range of prescription drugs (barbiturates, benzodiazepines, some anti-depressants and anti-epileptics) to the classic range of ’street drugs’ which encompassed pretty much anything that’s cocaine or amphetamine-based plus all the usual hallucinogenics.

It also cites a doubling of the risk of psychosis (a 100% increase) in data relating to long-term use of cannabis and indicates some of the potential shortcomings of the research that the study reviewed. There’s both consistency in outcomes and in efforts to eliminate external factors in studies looks specifically at the incidence of psychosis, much less consistency and effort to account for external factors is studies focussing on depression/anxiety and a substantial confounding effect across all studies that needs to allowed for, statistically, before reaching any valid conclusions.

On the whole, that looks pretty good as research methodologies go, certainly good enough to suggest that this is, indeed, a competent and exacting piece of research and give the study’s conclusions some serious consideration.

Interpretation

The evidence is consistent with the view that cannabis increases risk of psychotic outcomes independently of confounding and transient intoxication effects, although evidence for affective outcomes is less strong. The uncertainty about whether cannabis causes psychosis is unlikely to be resolved by further longitudinal studies such as those reviewed here. However, we conclude that there is now sufficient evidence to warn young people that using cannabis could increase their risk of developing a psychotic illness later in life.

So, what the study actually concludes is that there is sufficient statistical evidence to take the issue of risk seriously although not enough to prove a clear causative relationship or accurately define the parameters of that relationship. Indeed the study goes on to indicate that, so far as statistical population studies go, we’ve pretty much hit the wall in terms of what they can actually tell us about the possible relationship between cannabis and mental health, which means that any further answers are going to have to come from those strands of research currently examining this relationship in terms of genetics and biochemistry.

In short, it doesn’t really tell us anything new and it certainly doesn’t establish a clear causal relationship between cannabis use and long term mental health problems, but it does suggest that there’s enough statistical evidence of risk to justify warning young people of the existence of such risks.

All very reasonable and nothing that’s really the stuff of scare stories and moral panics if understood (and presented) properly.

Getting back to Curtis’ article, the good news is that she’s at least taken the time and trouble to actually include some of the research outcomes in a form that can be evaluated.

The overall additional risk to cannabis smokers is small, but measurable. One in 100 of the general population have a chance of developing severe schizophrenia; that rises to 1.4 in 100 for people who have smoked cannabis.

The bad news is that she’s made a complete hash of presenting this information.

Notice the shift in tone - ‘the overall additional risk is small, but measurable’ - which is certainly true, but not what was implied at the start of the article when she was banging on about a 40% increased risk.

She also claims that this increased risk relates specifically to the possibility of developing ’severe schizophrenia’, which is certainly not what the summary given by the Lancet suggests - remember that refers to the increase risk of ‘any psychotic outcome’, not just schizophrenia and certainly not just ’severe schizophrenia’ - unless there is such a specific reference in the full article then it looks very much as if Curtis is over-egging the pudding and misrepresenting the conclusions of the study in terms that suggest that the qualitative elements of risk (i.e. the severity of the condition linked to cannabis use) are significant greater than those indicated by the actual study.

But the risk of developing other psychotic symptoms among people who smoke large quantities or are already prone to mental illness is significant, the researchers say.

People who smoke cannabis daily have a 200% increased risk of psychosis.

Well, yes, the study does indicate an increased risk with regular use and higher dosage, but that risk is a little over double the baseline risk (actually 109% greater) not the 200% that Curtis cites - a basic mathematical error, one would presume, but one that still gives a distorted picture of the actual outcomes of the research.

Moreover, while we’re talking about baseline risks, the 1 in 100 figure cited is the generally quoted figure for schizophrenia in the general population of the US, the actual figure given by the National Statistical Office for the UK is around 1 in 200 for all psychotic disorders, not just schizophrenia. In terms of assessing risk, this is actually rather important as what it does suggest is that even allowing for the degree of increased risk noted in the research study, the actual risk of a regular cannabis user developing a psychotic disorder in UK is only about the same as base risk of schizophrenia in the US.

In fact, if one narrows the scope down just to schizophrenia, then the generally cited rate of prevalence in the UK is only 3 cases per 1000 population with an annual incidence rate of between 0.1 and 0.2 cases per thousand, which makes accounting for the differences between US and UK rates even more important.

What this may well indicate, more than anything else, is marked differences in diagnostic practices between the UK and US that need to be considered and factored into our calculations, and which certainly needs to be accounted or allowed for in assessing the value of this research in terms of public policy.

They estimate that 14% of 15- to 34-year-olds currently suffering schizophrenia are ill because they smoked cannabis, a figure previously thought to be between 8% and 10%.

Because?

How the hell do you get ‘because’ from a study that concludes:-

The uncertainty about whether cannabis causes psychosis is unlikely to be resolved by further longitudinal studies such as those reviewed here.

The answer is, ‘you don’t', because, as yet, there is no definitive proof of causation and the most promising line of inquiry at the present time suggests that the risks of developing psychosis as a consequence of cannabis use are likely to be confined to a segment of population that has a genetic predisposition towards mental health problems to begin with.

Where, exactly have those figures come from?

According to the current diagnosis rates about 800 people would have been spared schizophrenia if they had not smoked cannabis.

Ah, now I see - they come from mixing and matching incidence rates (i.e. numbers diagnosed each year) with estimates of risk derived from prevalence rates.

Having done a bit of scouting around to see if I could find any reported studies where a comparison of outcomes between them and this new study might give the figures cited by Curtis, arriving eventually at this report, which appears to fit the bill.

If cannabis causes schizophrenia - and that remains in question - then by 2010 up to 25 per cent of new cases of schizophrenia in the UK may be due to cannabis, according to a new study by Dr Matthew Hickman of the University of Bristol and colleagues, published in Addiction journal.

Note, once again, the big ‘if’.

Not only that, but if we look at this study’s reported methodology, we find:

The research study matches historic trends in cannabis use and exposure from a national population survey against estimates of new occurrences of schizophrenia in three English cities (Nottingham, Bristol and the London Borough of Southwark). The researchers assess what might happen to schizophrenia cases if we assume a causal link between cannabis use and onset of psychotic symptoms, an association widely recognised by some psychiatrists and researchers and considered recently by the Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs.

Now there is a potential problem with that methodology and that is:-

Ethnic minority groups are at increased risk for all psychotic illnesses but African-Caribbeans and Black Africans appear to be at especially high risk for both schizophrenia and mania. These findings suggest that (a) either additional risk factors are operating in African-Caribbeans and Black Africans or that these factors are particularly prevalent in these groups, and that (b) such factors increase risk for schizophrenia and mania in these groups. (source)

In terms of demographics, the Black population of Southwark amounts to 25.9% of the total population of the borough; for Nottingham its 4.34% and for Bristol its 2.32%.

For the UK as a whole, the Black population amounts to 1% of the total population, so the Bristol study is taking its data from areas in which a ethnic minority population that is known to be at increased risk of developing psychotic disorders is over-represented in comparison to the national population by anything from 2 to 25 times.

Not to mention that the study, itself, works from a premise that assumes that a causal relationship between long-term mental health problems and cannabis use will be established.

And is all that were not enough…

The researchers said the evidence was the strongest yet to show that cannabis caused psychotic mental illnesses, and not just that people who were ill smoked more. Dr Stanley Zammit, of Cardiff University, said: “We think the evidence is such that we need a new official warning about the risk.”

At the risk of repetition, the summary in the Lancet explicitly states:

The uncertainty about whether cannabis causes psychosis is unlikely to be resolved by further longitudinal studies such as those reviewed here.

And you’ll notice that the apparent claim of causality attributed to the researchers is not an actual quotation, in fact the only direct quotation given calls for the a warning about the apparent risks, which is supported by the conclusions of the research study but only the context of statistical correlations and not proof of causation.

Paul Corry, director of public affairs at the mental health charity Rethink, echoed calls for more warnings but said it was not evidence in itself that cannabis should be reclassified. “Rather than focusing its attention on the reclassification debate, the government would do well to crack on with the more important job of informing the public about the health implications,” he said.

Well yes, quite…

But then before doing that, should we not be just a little more exacting in how those are expressed, in terms of giving an accurate assessment of the evidence of risk provided by these studies and by not claiming causation when there is still no definitive evidence to support such claims?

There is rather more to this than just a blogger venting off a bit of steam about yet another piece of shoddy health journalism. In matters of public health education, particularly with young people and especially if what one is trying to achieve amounts to behaviour modification, there is nothing more important than trust - and there is nothing more certain to undermine trust than the misreporting and misrepresentation of evidence.

If you want young people to take on board the evidence of possible risks arising from the use of cannabis you have to be upfront in giving them accurate information, because no soon as you are caught cheating and overplaying your hand then that’s it, you’ve blown it and they won’t listen to you.

Moral panics might be good for selling newspapers, but they’re a lousy way of going about public health education.

UPDATE

Having worked your way through all that, this is the Daily Mail’s take on the story…

A single joint of cannabis raises the risk of schizophrenia by more than 40 per cent, a disturbing study warns.

The Government-commissioned report has also found that taking the drug regularly more than doubles the risk of serious mental illness.

Overall, cannabis could be to blame for one in seven cases of schizophrenia and other life-shattering mental illness, the Lancet reports.

The grim statistics - the latest to link teenage cannabis use with mental illness in later life - come only days after Gordon Brown ordered a review of the decision to downgrade cannabis to class C, the least serious category.

I suppose the only saving grace is that neither of the journalists bylined on the story - Fiona Macrae and Emily Andrews - appears to be billed a ‘health correspondent’, although its questionable as to whether they should even be billed as journalists.

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Getting a little caught up in the political knockabout surrounding last week’s by-elections meant that there were one or two things I’d intended to blog that fell by the wayside, at least until Justin reminded me of what I’d intended to write with these observations.

The other day, I wrote a ‘joke’ that, at the end of the new Harry Potter book, Hogwarts is closed after a poor OFSTED report only to be reopened as a City Academy specialising in training call centre workers. Whoops, a bit of satire there.

Of course, it’s rubbish, isn’t it? An absurd extrapolation of the notion that schools now only exist to produce economically-optimised drones. Bollocks, in other words.

But then

A secondary school which has opened an on-site call centre where pupils can practise selling mobile phone contracts and answering customer complaints has been criticised for lowering children’s expectations.

Christ. I feel sick.

Me too.

I turned forty last year and, as is apparently obligatory on such occasions, took a little time to mull over my present situation and consider what, if anything, I might still like to achieve in the years remaining to me before advancing age and a life of dissolute pleasures rob me of all sensibilities.

Should I, perhaps, take up the ‘Way of the Clarkson’ and buy a sports car and several hundred pairs of ill-fitting jeans at the recommended two sizes too small for my waistline?

Or perhaps I should set as my personal goal that of becoming one of those dessicated health obsessives whose declining years are spent in ruthless pursuit of the goal of living to be a ripe old burden on their offspring and a world renowned expert on the correct size, shape, colour, consistency and odour of the perfect poo?

No, thought I. Popularly as both options seem to be these days, neither holds much appeal so far as I’m concerned.

So, after a little thought, I settled on a goal much more in keeping with my temperament and interests and decided that I’d quite like to take a crack at becoming a bit of a polymath. A ‘Renaissance Man’ aka ‘Homo Universalis’. I mean I’ve been a bit of a smart arse, so why not spend the next few years usefully employed in the task of doing the job properly, I thought.

Now I’m not saying that I’m definitely going to be any good at it, but I’ve always rather admired those like Da Vinci, Newton, Franklin and Gallileo who did manage to carry off the whole polymath thing pretty well and, in any case, whether or not I succeed in such a goal seems rather less important that the enjoyment one gets from trying.

And so, over the last year or so, any time not spent working, doing family things or blogging has been usefully taken up with reading anything and everything that takes my fancy, which means mostly non-fiction spanning everything from history, politics and philosophy right through to cosmology, quantum mechanics and chaos theory - none of which is the slightest bit of use to my current employer or to the economy in general, I dare say, but I enjoy it and that’s ultimately the only thing that counts.

That’s my personal take on the purpose and value of education and, particularly, on the notion of ‘lifelong learning’, which is, and has been, the favourite buzzword amongst education policy wonks over the last few years, although that’s not quite how the buzzword fetishists see it.

And that brings me neatly to Matthew Taylor, formerly the Director of IPPR and head the Downing Street Policy Unit, under Tony Blair, and now the Chief Executive of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manfactures and Commerce, and to an article published on his blog in regards to a recent speech he gave to the Training and Development Agency for Schools entitled ‘The Future Task of Schooling‘, which he describes as:-

…trying to link some of my ideas about pro-social behaviour and how we create the citizens of the future with questions about the future of teaching.

There is, to my mind, something intrinsically creepy about that particularly statement, creepy as in Aldous Huxley meets The Jetsons; a feeling that Taylor’s first line of argument does nothing whatsoever to dispell:-

1. The future task of schooling must be about building children’s capabilities (as we do with the RSA Opening Minds curriculum).

This means developing children who, as well as the basics, have attributes like self-confidence, the ability to solve problems and show initiative, team working and communication.

Above all the aim of schooling is that every child leaves school with the desire and the ability to continue learning throughout life.

Its that second paragraph that I find, well, rather dislikeable. Assuming that by ‘the basics’ what Taylor means is the ‘3Rs’ - reading, [w]riting and [a]rithmatic - what follows in terms of Taylor’s view of desirable attributes seems to amount to little more than the same kind of boilerplate bullshit one writes as a matter of routine in reply the ‘any other relevant information’ question on application forms, safe in the knowledge that everyone else is putting the same thing, before getting on with the business of explaining what actual skills, knowledge and experience you have to offer.

Seriously, does anyone ever claim that they have anything but that they have good (or maybe even excellent) communication and problem solving skills and that they can work under their own initiative and be a ‘good team player’. I’ve been on the other side of fence, so to speak, in taking part in recruitment short-listing and interviewing and, to be frank, I pay absolutely no attention to any claims of this kind on application forms precisely because I know that the vast majority of applicants will lay claim to all those ‘attributes’ simply because they believe, or have been told, that that’s what employers expect these days.

What’s rather more disturbing, however, is what this reveals about the underlying ethos of Taylor, and other like him, when it comes to their views on the future role and purpose of education, which seems to amount to nothing more than a production line churning out an endless stream of worker ants ready to take the appointed place in front of bank after bank of telephony-enabled PCs.

That’s the so-called ‘knowledge economy’ for you, a society in which the knowledge requirements for employment amount to a matter of the ability to read and on-screen script and type the answers given by the person on the other end of the phone into the right boxes in a bespoke database application. Rather ironic, don’t you think? A ‘knowledge economy’ in which malleability and the minimum possible knowledge required to push the right buttons on a PC quickly enough to be profitable is the primary requirement and that towards which eleven years of formal education is to be directed.

One can hardly wait for Matthew to turn his intellectual faculties towards trying to link his ideas about ‘pro-social behaviour and how we create the citizens of the future’ with questions about the future of transport and the environment, an exercise that’s likely to lead to the suggestion that we can readily cut carbon emissions in the shipping industry by bringing back the trireme and replacing school gyms and sports fields with banks of rowing machines.

Reading some of the material relating to the ‘Open Minds’ curriculum that Taylor refers to, particularly the report entitled ‘Opening Minds: Education for the 21st Century‘, one cannot help but be disturbed by the ‘vision’ of the future it sets out.

The practical challenges faced by education are not simply economic. In many countries, Britain among them, rising prosperity has been accompanied by substantial social change, some of it problematical: family breakdown, changing attitudes to personal relationships, social exclusion. More generally, young people face an increasingly complex world where many old certainties have disappeared. The effects of these developments are very quickly felt in schools. They are places which often seem to bring together and focus the challenges posed by economic and social change. But the ability of schools to cope with the impact of these changes beyond their boundaries is in question. This is true in both the economic sphere – as expressed by the rising number of employers engaged in what they openly refer to as ‘remedial education’ of their new recruits fresh from school or university – and the social, as expressed in the view that schools are failing to educate young people to function in democratic society.

Halifax plc has defined a set of 10 core competences relevant to all grades within the organisation. This framework defines the key ‘attributes, characteristics, behaviours and knowledge exhibited by successful performers’. Their competences are in 3 categories: people, personal and process.

People:direction setting, developing self and others, communication, and working with others.

Personal:achievement orientation, customer orientation, and change orientation.

Process:forward thinking, judgement, and quality focus.

Halifax plc has also created a structured and rigorous assessment process.

Each competence has 5 levels, each describing a different type of behaviour. These levels are progressive, becoming increasingly complex and demanding. In addition to assessing current progress and achievement the system is transparent, enabling participants to set goals for the future thereby providing motivation.

These problems will not go away. They are inseparable from the growth of the consumer society and the knowledge economy, rooted in the spread of technology which can shift economic activity round the globe almost at will and hence act as a destabilising force. They must, therefore, be addressed – at the right level. The problems faced by education in the coming decades have little to do with, for example the failings, real or assumed, of teachers. They are problems of strategy and purpose, and they are not peculiar to the UK. Across the industrialised world people are struggling to engage with the questions ‘what should the system look like in twenty years’ time? how should it be preparing young people for their adult lives?’

You see? Consumer capitalism has won the day. Its the end of history as we know it and all that’s left to do is turn our schools into corporate-sponsored social engineering factories churning out painstakingly indoctrinated workers fit only to be directed by the corporate hive minds.

Never mind education, understanding and real knowledge.

Think nothing of individuality and - gasp - the public heresy of thinking for yourself.

Forget qualifications and examinations, in Taylor’s Brave New World everything you’ll need to can be accommodated on a plastic badge with space for five tin stars.

Humanity? Dear old Homo Sapiens Sapiens? Doesn’t really exist any more - he’s/she’s just another resource.

How bitterly ironic is all this?

Marx predicted that the government of men would be ultimately replaced by the administration of things, and it seems he was right on the button, although who would have thought this would come about not by means of a communist revolution and the eventual withering away of the state but by way of corporate capitalism simply redefining people as things to be administered? Not Marx, certainly…

What of the Fascist thinkers of the 1930’s? Would they be gratified to see their vision of a unified Europe in which whole populations were ordered, organised and transferred around to meet the demands of efficient production, seemingly coming to fruition, or merely disappointed at the lack of patience shown by their political leaders in seeking to create such a New World Order by force, violence and war, when they could simply have played the waiting game and let big business do the job for them…

And what of Freidrich Hayek, whose ideas, one can argue, more than any other helped unleash the forces to which Taylor so obsequiously and ostentatiously kow-tows? Surely he would have hated the vision of the future set out in the report cited above even in acknowledging the role his economic and political ideas have had in making such a future a distinct possibility.

But then again, if Taylor and his ilk have their way then who’ll be left to even consider, let alone care what Marx or Hayek might have made of the future being laid out for our children, but for those few of us ageing bloggers who might still aspire, however imperfectly, to heights of Homo Universalis? What competencies can there be in the new educational order that demand a knowledge of political philosophy?

Certainly nothing that would interest Taylor’s new breed of humans, Homo Servitus.

Title Quotation - “Education is an ornament in prosperity and a refuge in adversity.” Aristotle

8 Comments »

Watching Guido trying to salvage a few meagre shreds of reputation as the blogosphere premier ‘Sleazefinder General’ is, I must admit, rather entertaining.

Do You Believe there is No Connection Between Cash and Honours?

Tony Blair created 292 peers. Millions were raised from the recipients of those honours…

Does anyone - or should I say anyone expressing an honest and unbiased opinion - really believe that a full audit of Tory Party finances and donations covering the Thatcher/Major government, which created 341 peers between them, would not show much the same kind of correlation?

And what about the £6 million in loans that the Tories paid off to ensure that the identities of their backers remained out of the public domain?

Ah, can you hear that folks? That’s the sound of silence…

Still, I guess all this does save Guido the time and trouble of trying to finish off writing ‘The Trial of  Lord Levy’ - unless Levy decides to sue him for libel and defamation, of course…

Anyone up for starting work on the Trial of Paul Staines Guido Fawkes?

Even more amusing, however, is the sight of the blogosphere’s premier Guido wannabe, Praguetory, appearing to admit to having withheld information from the Police in regards to criminal offences under the Honours (Prevention of Abuses) Act 1925:

it’s very hard to believe that the 6,300 documents prepared by the police over the course of about a year and passed to the CPS 3 (!) months ago were insufficient for a case to come to court. Not only is the evidence of wrongdoing clear, but I have been told by a number of sources close to specific lenders that they admit that they were trying to buy a lordship.

First things first - about this claim that ‘the evidence of wrongdoing is clear’, Praguetory…

Are you claiming to have seen the evidence submitted by the police to the CPS for consideration, or are you simply trying to pass off an extremely unqualified personal opinion as a matter of fact?

And in either case, in what sense do you consider yourself qualified to judge the strength of the evidence presented to the CPS by the Metropolitan Police. Are you a solicitor or barrister? Do you have a degree in law?

No of course you aren’t and you don’t, you’re just a loudmouth Tory blogger with a bloated sense of your own self-importance and a desperate craving for attention.

Moving on swiftly to Praguetory’s other claim…

I have been told by a number of sources close to specific lenders that they admit that they were trying to buy a lordship.

Well if that’s true, why have you not forwarded that information to the Metropolitan Police? Do you not realise that not only is the sale of honours a criminal offence under section 1 of the 1925 Act but also the solicitation of honours, which is covered by section 2…

(2) If any person gives, or agrees or proposes to give, or offers to any person any gift, money or valuable consideration as an inducement or reward for procuring or assisting or endeavouring to procure the grant of a dignity or title of honour to any person, or otherwise in connection with such a grant, he shall be guilty of a misdemeanour.

Notwithstanding your patently transparent political motives, Praguetory, if you are aware of any individuals who may have offered loans or donations to any political party in the hope of obtaining a peerage or other honour for themselves of for third party then you are surely under a moral and ethical obligation to disclose their identity and/or the identity of your claimed sources together with any other relevant information appertaining to these alleged ‘admissions’ to the Metropolitan Police for further investigation.

After all, the solicitation of honours carries the same penalty as their sale - up to two years imprisonment on indictment or three months on summary conviction - as specified by the third and final section of the Act:

(3) Any person guilty of a misdemeanour under this Act shall be liable on conviction on indictment to imprisonment for a term not exceeding two years or to a fine not exceeding five hundred pounds, or to both such imprisonment and such fine, or on summary conviction to imprisonment for a term not exceeding three months or to a fine not exceeding fifty pounds, or to both such imprisonment and such fine, and where the person convicted (whether on indictment or summarily) received any such gift, money, or consideration as aforesaid which is capable of forfeiture, he shall in addition to any other punishment be liable to forfeit the same to His Majesty.

There is, of course, another possible (and many would argue likely) explanation for Praguetory’s remarks, which is simply that he’s bullshitting and that these ’sources close to specific lenders’ are no more than figments of his ego and his desperation to be seen as a big wheel in the discreditable, and increasingly discredited, histrionic wing of the Tory blogosphere.

(Despite surface appearances to the contrary, which stem primarily from the relentless media whoring and playing to the troll gallery of the likes of Guido and Iain Dale, there are actually some very good Tory bloggers out there, of whom I can happily recommend Mr Eugenides, Bel and Matt Wardman as being well worth a read if, like me, you prefer your political opponents to be honest, authentic and intelligent.)

Based on his comments, of which I’ve naturally taken a screenshot (see below) it seems to me that Praguetory has painted himself into a corner in which he has left himself only three options.

1) He can demonstrate the veracity of his claim to have been told by ’sources close to specific lenders’ of these alleged attempts to solicit honours in breach of section 2 of the Honours (Prevention of Abuses) Act 1925, by forwarding the information he purports to have to the Metropolitan Police, thereby initiating further inquiries.

2) He can publish the identities of the specific lenders named by his claimed sources, secure in the knowledge that his ’sword of truth’ will prevail when he gets whacked with the inevitable libel action that would result from such a course of action, or

3) He can respond to the above challenge with his usual mix of bullshit and bluster and then waffle on about the importance of protecting sources and put up whatever other excuses for inaction he can think of - thereby reinforcing the impression that many will already have of him, that of his being a congenital bullshitter who will say pretty much anything in his unbounded desperation to climb the slippery pole of the Tory blogosphere to the lip of the gutter currently occupied by Guido.

Or he could just libel Bob Piper again in the hope that that might deflect attention away from the embarrassment of his made a complete cunt of himself, yet again.

ptlevy.jpg

21 Comments »

Over the last week or so, several Labour bloggers, myself included, have openly warned the Tories that their ham-fisted ‘any vote will do’ campaign strategy in Ealing Southall was likely to draw the unwelcome attention of militant Khalistani nationalists, and sure enough our predictions have proved correct with the release of two nakedly-communalist smear videos posted under the account name ‘no2sharmalabour’, one of which concludes with this image, which one would assume has been used entirely without the approval of Tony Lit or the Conservative Party.

smearvideo.jpg

The source of these videos can hardly be in much doubt, given that the second video includes a number of ‘questions’ identical to those being posted on a number of Sikh forums, and in comments on several blogs (as here on Pickled Politics) by members of the Sikh Federation, which amongst other things, actively campaigns against the current proscription of the International Sikh Youth Federation by the UK government under the Terrorism Act 2000, and which was identifed by the Times as having been involved in the Behtzi riot in Birmingham in 2004.

The Sikh community fears that its reputation has been tarnished by the trouble at the Birmingham Repertory Theatre, which led to the play Behzti (Dishonour) being abandoned.

The Times has learnt that members of the Sikh Federation were among the demonstrators on Saturday night. The group was formed in the aftermath of the banning of the International Sikh Youth Federation under the Terrorism Act 2000. The ISYF is committed to the creation of an independent Sikh state in India and, according to the Foreign Office, has been involved in assassinations, bombings and kidnappings, mainly directed against Indian officials and interests.

The Sikh Federation maintains that it is separate from the ISYF, with a new constitution and an agenda of promoting Sikh interests in Britain. It said that strict disciplinary arrangements would apply to the members who brought the organisation into disrepute “by working outside the legitimate activities of the organisation”. It added: “The ultimate sanction against a member will be expulsion.”…

…Sewa Singh Mandla, the chairman of the council of Sikh Gurdwaras in Birmingham who organised the campaign against the play, said he was dismayed that it had been dropped in the face of the weekend violence. He said that, as the play received more media attention, a host of organisations were jostling to become involved. “The Sikh Federation is just jumping on the bandwagon,” Mr Mandla said.

“They are a group of militant people who just want to stir up problems around us.”

(The ISYF is also proscribed in India, the US and Canada)

Despite its claims to be an entirely separate organisation, the Indian government continues to allege that the Sikh Federation is a ‘front’ for the banned ISYF.

Indian concerns include the allegation that the vigil’s organiser, the Sikh Federation (UK), is a front organisation for a British-proscribed terrorist group, the International Sikh Youth Federation (ISYF). The Sikh Federation has always denied the charge.

Although it seems highly unlikely that the Tories will welcome this latest public endorsement of Tony Lit, its source and content will come as yet more embarrassment for the Tory campaign in Ealing Southall and a further blow to efforts to cultivate cross-community appeal for its candidate, Tony Lit, who seems to be increasing becoming bogged down in unfortunate headlines, and associations.

There is also the question of whether the content of this video breaches electoral law covering the making of false statements regarding candidates, one suspects it does, in which case one would also expect the Tories to move quickly (and quite rightly) to disassociated Lit and themselves from both the video and those behind it.

One would hope that Tories will take a tough line on a very obvious misuse of its intellectual property, one that to some local voters may give the (false) impression that the Tories are themselves indulging in naked communalism and the stirring of inter-community tensions in their search for votes, while a certain Tory blogger might wish to think twice in future before offering approving commentaries on the output of the Sikh Federation, and do a little more checking of backgrounds and provenance before quoting their material.

14 Comments »

According to the BBC -

‘Chastity ring’ girl loses case

A 16-year-old girl was not discriminated against after she was banned from wearing a “purity ring” in school, the High Court has ruled.

Lydia Playfoot was told by Millais School in Horsham, West Sussex, to remove her ring - which symbolises chastity - or face expulsion.

The school denied breaching her human rights, insisting the ring was not an essential part of the Christian faith.

Miss Playfoot said she was “very disappointed” by the decision.

She said the ruling would “mean that slowly, over time, people such as school governors, employers, political organisations and others will be allowed to stop Christians from publicly expressing and practising their faith”.

The judge said the school was “fully justified” in its actions.

The Beeb goes on to report that:

Miss Playfoot was one of a group of 11 girls at her school who joined a movement called the Silver Ring Thing.

Well, there’s rather more to it than that - see:

Silver Bling Thing

Asexual Nazis for God?

Rights and Religiosity - got this one right…

What abstinence-only sex education really means…

Will keep an eye out for the full ruling, if and when published, so we can see exactly what the judge has to say.

2 Comments »

Yes, I know fisking Nadine Dorries is yet another exercise is shooting tuna in a bucket with a 12 gauge, but this nonsense on abortion fully deserves the complete works…

So, the Roman Catholic Church has gone nuclear on abortion.

What, they want to start nuking doctors?

As someone who currently has a bill running in the House of Commons to reduce the upper limit at which an abortion can take place from 24 to 20 weeks and to introduce a period of informed consent or cooling off period - (which is about to come back onto the floor of the House for its third reading in October, the month of the 40th anniversary of the Abortion Act), this is a position I should welcome. However, I have very mixed feelings.

Really? Mixed feelings about what exactly, Nadine?

Where has the Catholic Church, or for that matter, any Christian Church been for the last 40 years?

Well, the Catholic Church has been entirely consistent in its view on abortion over that period, has supported several efforts to place restrictions on availability, including the reduction in the upper time limit from 28 to 24 weeks gestation that did pass into law, and general campaigned against abortion at every available opportunity.

So why is Nadine railing against them all of a sudden? (all will be revealed shortly)

The Abortion Act of 1967 was introduced to legalise abortion in order to end the back street abortion racket.

Ooh, nice bit of ‘unspeak‘ there, Nadine.

Unspeak? Yes. Unspeak - the use of language as a weapon in politics, or if you prefer semantic propaganda.

Think for a moment about the implications of calling back street abortions a ‘racket’. What does the word ‘racket’ imply?

Well, for starters, the involvement of organised crime - racketeer was a commonly used synonym for ‘gangster’.

Of course, that not true, there was never an organised crime element to the provision of abortions prior to 1967, no secret Mafiosi-run clinics and certainly no hint that the Kray’s ever had a hand in the wire coathanger and hot water racket. Back street abortionists were almost always solo operators, sometimes former or failed medical practitioners, more often just a local women who, in earlier times, would have served the community in which she lived as the local midwife cum herbalist/healer.

Calling back street abortions a ‘racket’ does rather more than refer to the fact that they were illegal at the time, it actually seeks to elevate the level of illegality it entailed over and above that or ‘ordinary’ crime by playing on the public’s perception that crime in invariably a more serious matter when its ‘organised’ and carried out systematically by a criminal ‘underworld’.

‘Racket’ has another semantic connotation that’s equally relevant. A ‘racket’, colloquially, can also mean a fraud or deception, something dishonest and based on an element of trickery - think in terms of the classic Phil Silvers’ show and the character of Sgt. Ernie Bilko (or Top Cat, if you’re a bit younger).

Nadine, in choosing to describe back street abortions as a ‘racket’ is seeking to convey a false image of the practice, one that portrays the practice as a form of conscious exploitation of vulnerable women rather than as drastic, and extremely imperfect, response of a social need (or as some would contend, necessity). Women who sought out and used their services - which were the only ones available - are cast in the mould of being unwitting victims of exploitation, in effect they were ‘tricked’ into having abortions by unscrupulous individuals whose sole interest was in profiting from their miserable situation as if to suggest, almost, that its was the availability of of illegal abortions and not the lack of legal ones that was really the problem.

All an entirely false prospectus and a false account of the real social history of the time - if you want an honest picture of period, don’t listen to ‘Mad Nad’, go see Mike Leigh’s ‘Vera Drake‘ instead.

Illegal abortions were costing lives or leaving women with horrific physical consequences and infections. Something had to be done.

Pre 1967, abortion was a last resort, something a woman resorted to in the most desperate of situations. The reason being that the frightening alternative was the back street abortionist. Everyone knew someone who had a horror story to tell. Breaking the law was not something people undertook lightly either.

Today the Act is undoubtedly used as a form of contraception, and the law, as presently drafted, allows for this to be the case.

Abortion is NOT a means of contraception - and as Nadine was a nurse at one point in her life she damn well should know better than to make such a crass and inaccurate remark.

Contraception is specifically the prevention of conception or impregnation by artificial means - once a fertilised has implanted successfully in the womb then impregnation has taken place and the whole idea of contraception becomes meaningless, at least for so long as the pregnancy continue.

An abortion is an abortion. It is not as means of contraception, it is simply the termination of a preganancy.

This is, not to put too fine a point on it, one of the more despicable lines of argument deployed by the anti-abortion lobby. By deliberately conflating abortion with contraception, the intent is to portray the entirely false notion that legal access to abortion services makes abortion an ‘easy’ option, a meaningless lifestyle choice.

It isn’t - the only thing that easy here is the casual manner in which Nadine misrepresents the reality of difficulties that women face in reaching the difficult and heartrending decision to terminate a pregnancy, which she also compounds with a misbegotten eulogy the pre-legalisation days when the horrors of the backstreet abortionist served a useful social purpose in dissuading some women from making such a choice.

It is a fact that the law needs to be amended.

It is not a ‘fact’ that the law needs to be amended. A fact is something real, tangible. Something that actually has a verifiable existence. What Nadine is expressing here is not a fact, but a personal opinion. She calls it a fact simply in order to try an persuade her readers that they have no option but to agree with her - a fact is a fact and cannot be disputed, an opinion is simply a personal view which can be very much open to discussion and debate.

Calling an opinion a fact is simply an attempt to shut down the debate, an indication that Nadine is unwilling to debate her views on abortion with an open mind.

However, it is also the case that the public need to be made more aware of what is actually taking place with regard to abortion within society today.

The graphic 4D images which have been put into the public domain by Professor Campbell have assisted hugely with this process.

There has never been a pregnant woman who has not wished, at some stage of her pregnancy, that she had a window which she could peep through to see her unborn child. Professor Campbell and 4D screening has done just that, a miracle in itself. We can see the foetus at all stages of development to the point where we can watch a smile, a thumb being sucked, a hiccough, or even a little cry.

Now were onto the bad science.

Let’s start with ‘Professor Campbell’, which right from the off is a very basic appeal to authority, i.e. what I’m about to tell you comes from a scientist and scientists, as we all know, know best - not. I’m sure, the view of Professor Campbell, I should say, but rather the manner in Nadine presents, or rather misrepresents, his work.

Then there’s the matter of of his images, which are a ‘4D’ screening because, of course, a ‘4D’ image is much better than a 3D or a 2D one. The term ‘4D’ is, actually completely meaningless, of course, because what you actually see when you look at Campbell’s images is a two-dimensional image of a computer-generated three dimensional model which moves over time (the fourth dimension) - call it what you like, its still a piece of two dimensional video footage.

And is this a ‘miracle’?

Of course not. A miracle is an event in the physical world which cannot be explained in natural terms and is there ascribed to the workings of a supernatural force. Campbell’s images are nothing more than the product of a bit of clever imaging technology about which there is nothing in the least bit miraculous at all; but note, again, the semantic use of ‘miracle’ here. Campbell’s images, his use of technology, are ‘a miracle in itself’, i.e. a miracle alongside the other ‘miracle’ here, that of foetal development.

But then there’s nothing miraculous about that either. Life is an entirely natural process and there is nothing at all supernatural about reproduction - birds do it, bees do it, even single celled amoebas do it, albeit is rather different manner to vertebrates.

Nadine’s oblique reference to reproduction as a ‘miracle’ could be a simply colloquialism, but one suspect rather more that it betrays the theological basis of her thinking on the subject of abortion - and, of course, her efforts to restrict access to it - even if she unwilling to admit to that openly and chooses to conceal her real views out of simple political expediency.

Yes, Campbell’s images do show the exterior development of the foetus right up to the point at which one can see it apparently smile, suck its thumb, hiccough (an entirely a lousy example to cite in any case as even in full grown adults its stems from an entirely involuntary reflex) and even cry…

…and all that at TWENTY SIX WEEKS GESTATION, a full two weeks AFTER the upper limit for elective abortion on non-medical grounds.

What Campbell’s images don’t display, however, is the development of the frontal cortex of the brain, and therefore the capacity for consciousness, rational and abstract thought, understanding, comprehension, communication and control over bodily functions - all of which does not begin until the third trimester; i.e. from 24 weeks gestation onwards. All movements prior to that point are automatic and occur without conscious thought; they are merely reflexive physical movements that may or may not have some basis on autonomic responses to external or internal stimuli.

The anti-abortion lobby (let’s not buy in the whole ‘pro-life’ trope, which is yet more propaganda) actively promote images such as those produced by Professor Campbell in part because it creates a false veneer of scientific ‘respectability’ around their arguments. It creates the appearance that they are trying to argue their case for restrictions on access to abortion from a scientific base when, in reality, nothing could be further from the truth and the argument they are trying to deploy, here, is nothing more than a basic appeal to emotion.

You’re supposed, if not expected, to look at the images and think ‘awww, but its looks like a baby’ - its a hyperreality in which you are supposed to engage, emotionally and intellectual, with the apparent image of a baby exhibiting human and seemingly conscious behaviours and not the reality of foetus exhibiting entirely reflexive and autonomic responses with no conscious intent, feelings or thought whatsoever - because the physical capacity for such things has simply not begun to develop at the point at which the images were taken.

The comparison that the anti-abortion lobby wants people to make on viewing the images is between the apparent physical development and behaviours of the foetus in the image and those of newborn, healthy baby - in reality the correct comparator at that stage would be one between the foetus and a newborn with a condition called anencephaly (literally ‘brainlessness’) in which the baby is born without any capacity for higher brain functions or conscious thought and, in most cases, will die within a few weeks or months of being born.

Of course, when the anti-abortion lobby talk about the public needing to made more aware of the reality of abortion, that last - and far more scientifically valid comparator - is not really what they have in mind when it comes to putting Campbell’s images on public display as, for many, the moral and ethical dimensions of the argument would tend to be seen in a rather differently light were they rather better informed on the matter of the neurological development of the foetus.

Professor Campbell’s images, while fascinating and in some cases even illuminating - and all credit to him for his technical achievements - are being presented in a highly misleading and unscientific manner by those, like Nadine, who are opposed to abortion on purely moral grounds based, largely, in theological belief. They are being used as propaganda.

The idea that Campbell’s images constitute scientific evidence in support of placing restrictions on abortion is no more valid or accurate than the suggestion would be that an image taken at between 4 and 5 months gestation, at which point all foetuses develop a thin covering of hair over their entire bodies (which they then lose fairly rapidly - this, by the way, is yet more evidence for Darwinian evolution) would be proof that the expectant mother can expect to give birth to a baby Chimpanzee - and one would expect that Campbell, himself, is perfectly aware of that, even if ‘Mad Nad’ is not.

The reports which show that women who have abortions are three times more likely to suffer from depression later in life need to be constantly highlighted. It should be incumbent upon every GP who counsels a pregnant woman seeking an abortion to inform her of this fact.

‘The reports’? Which ones, the actual journal papers, such as this one from the BMJ (January 2002), which appears to the basis of this assertion?

No, of course not. Most people simply wouldn’t read such reports, let alone understand them fully because they are written for medical practitioners by medical practitioners and in the language of medical practioners. No, the reports Nadine is taking are the kind one sees in the Daily Mail or Daily Express which ‘report’ the findings of such research studies, typically in grossly oversimplified and sensationalised terms.

Why must these reports be ‘constantly highlighted’? Because they help facilitate informed debate? Don’t be silly.

This is about spreading propaganda and not conducting a rational public debate. The reports in question must be constantly highlighted to drive into the public consciousness the idea that abortion is a bad thing that has nasty side effects (specifically depression) because that supports Nadine’s ideological position on abortion.

Of course, if you prefer a rational public debate founded on the available evidence, then you would also publicise this, more recent, report from the BMJ (December 2005 - ‘rapid response’ discussion worth reading as well), which reassesses and reevaluates the data and methodology of the earlier report and finds that the evidence for a correlation between abortion and the incidence of depression in later life is inconclusive, and then add two further papers from New Zealand by the same research team, this on the mental health aspects (abstract only I’m afraid, due to subscription firewall) and this one on life outcomes post-abortion, from which I’ll quote part of David Ferguson’s discussion on his findings, which amounts to about the most sensible thing I’ve read on the subject of abortion in a very long time.

Debates about the advantages and liabilities of abortion have been dominated by the rhetoric and political ideologies of those holding prolife and prochoice positions. Those holding prolife positions have tended to depict abortion as having few advantages and many disadvantages, whereas those holding prochoice positions have promoted the opposite view. Our findings from this study and related work lead to conclusions that fall between these extremes. In a previous article, we showed that exposure to abortion was associated with a moderate increase in risks of subsequent mental health problems even when due allowance was made for confounding factors. The present analysis suggests that abortion may mitigate some of the educational disadvantages that have been linked to early pregnancy, but that similar benefits are not evident for economic or partnership outcomes. The discrepancies between these findings and the rhetoric of both prolife and prochoice arguments strongly underline the need for further research into the risks and benefits associated with abortion as a means of addressing the issues raised by unwanted or mistimed pregnancies. In general, there is a clear need for further study of the social, educational and related outcomes of the decision to terminate a pregnancy so that women may be properly informed of the potential consequences of this decision for their life course.

There’s two statements worth picking out here:

Debates about the advantages and liabilities of abortion have been dominated by the rhetoric and political ideologies of those holding prolife and prochoice positions.

And

The discrepancies between these findings and the rhetoric of both prolife and prochoice arguments strongly underline the need for further research into the risks and benefits associated with abortion as a means of addressing the issues raised by unwanted or mistimed pregnancies.

You got that?

The evidence DOES NOT fully support the ideological positions adopted on either side of the argument and the current debate is almost entirely dominated by the rhetorical and ideological oppositionalism of each side to the other, in which one very important thing is almost entire forgotten - the woman who actually faces the difficult decision as to whether or not to have an abortion.

600 abortions a day take place in the UK. This is an unacceptably high number within a civilised society.

Why is it ‘unacceptably high’ and of what relevance is the assumption that we live in a ‘civilised society’ to this debate?

How does one decide at which point the number of abortions taking place each year becomes too many, unless one has the entirely fixed view that too many equal any number other than zero or, at best, a figure based on some small concessions to ‘necessity’ derived from a bit of moral salami slicing around issues of rape and severe congenital disability?

(That last one has always rather puzzled me as its not entirely clear to me from where, in opponents of abortion, the justification for permitting abortion in cases of severe disability derives. The simple answer, I suppose, is pure expediency - a desire not to be seen to be complete ‘unreasonably’ but one also suspects that, at time, some of the thinking on this may be coloured by even less noble motives, amongst which may lie an awareness of the economic and social costs of bringing up a severely disabled child).

One could, I suppose, think in terms of considering the proportion of pregnancies that end in termination that might be though ‘avoidable’, i.e. those that are both unplanned and unwanted right from the outset but not all terminations arise from such circumstances. What, for example, of women who become pregnant because initially they do want a baby with their long-term and seemingly committed partner only then to see what they though was their ’stable’ world fall apart around them, as does happen. What about those who fall pregnant because they are amongst the small, and unlucky, percentage of women for whom contraception fails - they clearly had no intention of falling pregnant and took steps to prevent that occurring only to find themselves facing impending motherhood in circumstances entirely outside their control.

How does one factor either of those scenarios into one’s calculations as to how many abortions is too many, or justify removing from those women the choice of an abortion is that is what they consider to be the best, and often only, option that satisfies their needs in such a situation?

As for this idea of a ‘civilised society’, aside from displaying an obvious and outdated, almost Victorian, sense of Eurocentricity - is China not also a civilised society, or India, perhaps - both have a far longer history of civilisation than Britain. In fact one cannot see such remarks without recalling Gandhi’s observation on being asked what he thought of Western Civilisation - ‘That would be a novel idea’.

And is it not also the case that the accessibility of abortion services is actually lowest, if not non-existent, in precisely the kind of societies that Nadine would appear to consider to be ‘uncivilised’, largely because these are the societies in which religious and legal prohibitions against abortion are still in place and hold the greatest sway. From that standpoint, are efforts to place greater restrictions on access to abortion services not, in reality, a retrograde step, a move away from ‘civilisation’, which tends to take a more liberal view of the necessity of such practices.

We have one of the highest rates of abortions within Europe along with the highest rates of teenage pregnancies.

Neither of which is an argument in favour of placing greater restrictions on abortion, although both are strong arguments in favour of improving sex education (including removing the right of parents to withdraw their children from sex education classes and consigning them to ignorance) and widening access to contraception - both of which the Catholic Church and some other religious groups oppose.

Restricting access to abortion does not automatically mean a reduction in the number of teenage pregnancies. What is probably would mean is an increase in both the number of teenage lone parents in receipt of welfare benefits and the number of unwanted children requiring foster care and adoption services, in addition to a wide range of other, hard to quantify, social and economic consequences, none of which I dare say Nadine has even bothered to think through.

Abortion has become a growth industry, facilitated and aided by the law.

Remember, Nadine started out be casting back street abortions after the fashion of a ‘racket’, as a form of organised crime/deception. Having been legalised, abortion is now an ‘industry’ and the ‘growth industry’ at that - yes its yet propaganda.

What does calling abortion an ‘industry’ actually imply?

That abortion has been mechanised and industrialised. That it’s now a production (or rather non-production) line where you just step up on the conveyor belt, open your legs nice and wide and let the machinery do the rest.

It suggests that Abortion services are cold, uncaring, profit-driven businesses interested only in vacuuming up your money as they vacuum away the foetuses. That abortion is quick, efficient, clinical process and requires neither thought or consideration on the part of woman seeking an abortion nor care and compassion on the part of medical practitioners carrying out the procedure.

And this, again, from a woman who used to be a nurse - politics may have raised Nadine’s public profile but its done nothing whatsoever for her sense of ethical standards.

The recent stance the Catholic Church has taken will assist in putting all of these facts into the public domain. I welcome the fact that it will heighten public awareness with regard to the sheer abuse of the Abortion Act and will once again push abortion up the public and political agenda.

And yet more propaganda - ’sheer abuse of Abortion Act’ - whatever can she mean?

Actually its obvious when you think about it - remember in Mad Nad’s world, abortion is an ‘industry’ that is ‘facilitated and aided by the law’ - a law that is also now being ‘abused’.

The implication is a stark as it is both false and entirely despicable, what Nadine is trying to promote as justification for placing restrictions on access to abortion is the idea that the intent of parliament as expressed in the original 1967 Act has been perverted over the last 40 years for nothing more than commercial gain - that’s why the Act is being ‘abused’ and abortion is now and ‘industry’.

Of course this is all just more rhetoric and propaganda.

Public opinion has recently shifted with regard to abortion, but not to the position of the Catholic Church.

Has it?

Who says so and on what basis is the public view changing?

Because of their active participation in an informed and rational debate or because they are being bombarded with propaganda?

And in what sense is it right that public opinion should be the key determinant of access to, and the kind of restrictions placed on abortion services. Who are ‘the public’ to sit in judgement on such matters, what substantive understanding of the issues do they actually have? What capacity is there for ‘the public’ to make informed decisions on such matters?

Arguments based on ‘public opinion’ are inherently logical fallacies because they amount to an argumentum ad populum, an appeal to the people or majority - and yes that does imply that democracy is also rooted in the same basic fallacy, which was most notably explored by Plato who considered it the ‘tyranny of the majority’.

Who is to say on a matter as individual and personal as abortion that the majority public view is the right view - what do they know of the consequences to the individual of placing restrictions and limitations on access to abortion? What can they possibly know?

Little or nothing, of course?

They cannot even, if Ferguson is correct, make a genuinely informed assessment on the generalities of such a question because we simply do not know enough about the implications and long-term effects/impact of abortion to make adequate judgements on the subject.

The public agree that the upper limit should be reduced, that we should work to offer women alternatives, help them to think very clearly about what they are doing, and, where possible, help to provide another solution. But it hasn’t shifted so far that the public want to ban abortion altogether.

Nadine keeps going on about what the public think and agree, but on what evidence is she basing these assertions?

Actually, it turns out that her evidence lies in an opinion poll commissioned by the Society for the Protection of the Unborn Child (naturally) from Communicate Research, last year, to coincide with Nadine’s own attempt to introduce legislation restricting access to abortion, a poll that ranks amongst the most poorly constructed and obviously biased I’ve ever seen.

To give you a flavour of what I mean, questions 7 on the poll asks:

Q7 Almost half of the 200,000 yearly abortions in the UK are conducted in private clinics but paid for by the NHS. In light of this, do you agree or disagree with these statements?

- Women attending private clinics probably receive equally good care in private clinics as they would in NHS ones

- The financial relationship between private clinics and the NHS makes it less likely that women attending receive impartial advice

- It is acceptable for the NHS to pay private clinics to conduct abortions

Which leads neatly into question 8.

Q8 Would you support or oppose each of the following possible changes to the law on abortion?

- A compulsory cooling-off period between diagnosis of pregnancy and any abortion

- A woman’s right to be informed of the medical risks associated with abortion

- A legal duty on doctors to provide access to advice both from abortion providers and from organisations offering alternatives such as adoption

- A right for healthcare workers not to have to sign abortion forms or to assist abortions where this would conflict with their ethical views

And thence to question 9 to cap it all off…

Q9 It has been argued that since the government funds abortions in private clinics, it should also make funds available to organisations offering women alternatives to abortion such as adoption. Would you support or oppose this proposal?

Not only is that a blatantly leading sequence of questions, but in some cases the matters on which respondents were asked to give their views were entirely misleading and irrelevant - medical staff are already accorded the right to ‘cry off’ any involvement in the provision of abortion services on grounds of personal ethics and there is no need to legislate for a right to be informed of the medical risks associated with abortion, a doctor who fails to advise a patient of the risks associated with any medical procedure is in serious breach of their own professional ethical code and risking disciplinary action (and even being struck off) if caught.

Of course, the real ‘payload’ in this sequence of leading questions is question nine, in which respondents are asked whether they’d support the provision of funding to organisation offering woman alternatives such as adoption (???) but only after question 7 has been used to implant the idea that the NHS lacks impartiality because it commissions medical services from the private sector.

To give another example of SPUC’s efforts to bias the outcome of this research, one question asks whether respondants agree with the statement that ‘Abortion law hasn’t kept up with our knowledge of early development in the womb’, with which 62% agree - quite how many of this 62% are sufficiently knowledgeable on the subject of foetal development to make an informed judgement is (obviously) not a question that SPUC care to ask, although earlier in the survey they did ask whether respondents agreed with the statement that ‘A baby’s nervous system develops in the womb at around 12 weeks’, this being the only effort made to assess respondent’s understanding of early development.The more observant among you will notice right away that that last question is already ‘loaded’ simply in referring to a foetus of 12 weeks gestation as a ‘baby’ - strictly speaking a foetus does not become a baby until its actually born - but in any case the mere fact that a nervous system begins to develop at around 12 weeks gestation is entirely immaterial. For one thing, mere possession of a nervous system does not qualify one for the appellation ‘human’ - a planaria flatworm has a nervous system, as do all arthropods (insects and crustaceans) and all vertebrates - and as I’ve already noted, the capacity for higher brain functions does not begin to develop until 24 weeks gestation, in fact its only at 26-28 weeks gestation that the nervous system develops sufficient to afford the foetus any control over bodily functions at all.

The time at which the nervous system begins to develop is one of the anti-abortion lobby’s favorite tropes; one that they use to suggest that foetus can ‘feel’ pain if aborted after this point- this complete woolly-minded, unscientific, nonsense. Once the nervous system develops a foetus will respond automatically to external stimuli, including pain, however it cannot ‘feel’ in the sense that we, as conscious beings, understand the term for the simple reason that the act of ‘feeling’ requires a capacity for consciousness that is simply not present until the third trimester.

If, as a matter of principle, one of our objectives in regards to abortion must be to enable women to make ‘informed’ choices and give ‘informed’ consent, then it must surely follow that we should take public opinion into account in making policy only where what is given is ‘informed’ opinion, anything less is to permit ‘the public’ to limit a woman’s freedom of choice, even if fully ‘informed’, on the basis of ignorance

For some, the moral dilemma of subjecting women to become criminals and seek the services of the back street abortionist is as big a moral issue as abortion itself.

This is an interesting shift in emphasis - why, if all that’s being sought are revisions to existing abortion law, should the moral dimensions of back street abortion come back into play?

That is surely only relevant if the ultimate objective here is a return to a position where abortion is, if not completely illegal, at least so heavily restricted to the extent that is inaccessible in all but the most extreme circumstances.

All this will be considered by Roman Catholic MPs when discussing the dictat of the Church.

Personally, I wish the Church had taken in the bigger picture and had tried to see that seismic change isn’t going to happen overnight. I wish they had seen that the process of reducing the daily number of abortions needs to be approached from a number of angles.

Which now explains Nadine’s earlier expression of ‘mixed feelings’ - her problem with the Catholic Church here is that they’ve blown the gaff on her strategy of trying to subject the existing abortion law to ‘death by a thousand cuts’.

What Mad Nad and her supporters want is a return to the pre-1967 position, in which abortion was illegal - or at worst/best (depending on your perspective) to a position in which abortion is available only is extremely limited circumstances (and never on the basis of anything so mundane as social need/necessity).

All this has nothing whatsoever to do with bringing abortion laws into line with current medical/scientific advances or giving women alternatives to abortion, it is a ‘wedge strategy’ whose objective is nothing less than the complete or near complete repeal of the 1967 Abortion Act.

We need to address the fact that the reason why so many unwanted pregnancies occur is due to the fact that so many young people are having unprotected sex. They think it is cool to have sex from a very young age and the majority of teenage boys believe that the consequences of sex are not their responsibility.

Which, again, requires an investment is high quality education and access to contraception, although one has to suspect given Nadine’s evident prejudices on other matters that she perhaps harbours some half-baked notions about American-style ‘abstinence programmes’ none of which have ever been shown to work effectively - like Nancy Reagan’s ‘just say no’ nonsense on drugs, what one finds that the only young people who respond to such messages are the one’s would have said no even without any such ‘education’.

There is one other thing to consider here; something that rarely, if ever, crops up is this debate because it raises a number of rather discomforting sociological questions, and that’s the question of puberty - or rather the effects of improvements in public health and nutrition on the average age at which children go through puberty.

The fact of the matter is - and this is a fact, not an opinion - that the average age at which puberty occurs, particularly in girls, has fallen considerably over the last 160 years. In England, in the 1840’s, the average age of the first menarche (period) was 16.5 years, currently its around 12.5 to 12.75 years and still falling.

Why?

Diet and nutrition is a significant factor. The purpose of puberty, of course, is to ready the body for reproduction and in all mammals, including humans, one of the necessities of reproduction at any age is the availability of the metabolic fuels necessary to sustain the body through pregnancy.

As a society, our perceptions as to the nature of puberty and the transition from childhood to adulthood (and sexual maturity) are largely conditioned by our understanding and perception of children’s intellectual and emotional development - none of which has any real bearing on puberty itself, the triggers for which are purely biochemical - puberty can kick at any time from around 8 years of age onwards depending on whether the body has stored up sufficient metabolic fuel to sustain the reproductive process, and of the main (but not only) triggers is a hormone called ‘leptin’ which is secreted by white fat cells.

In short, as out children become ‘fatter’ (on average) the age at which puberty begins and at which children attain sexual maturity (in the biological sense) falls, even without then getting into the complicated business of factoring in environment oestrogens into our calculations.

It’s not just ‘cool’ for teenage girls to be entering sexual relationships at an earlier age, its also a function of biological imperatives that come into play much sooner in relation to the intellectual and emotional development of young people.

This is something that the anti-abortion lobby, and religion (generally) seems entirely unwilling to address, that in trying to promote a brand of sexual morality based on abstinence they’re not just trying to fight modern social conventions but our species’s most basic and primal biological drives and instincts; the drive to reproduce to the species - or at least engage in behaviours that would serve that function were it not for contraception.

To try to impose rigid and inflexible standards of sexual morality on young people is to fight a somewhat futile battle - you’re not going to beat biology - which means placing all the more of an emphasis on education and contraception - the Netherlands has a legal age of consent of 16, like Britain, but an effective age of consent of 12 as defined by its rape statute and the fact that minors aged between 12 and 16 are not prosecuted for engaging in consensual sexuality activity except where a complaint in made under the Dutch penal code, not even if a pregnancy results from such activity. The Netherlands also has a teenage pregnancy rate of between and a seventh of that of the UK and despite the somewhat laissez faire attitude in law to under age sex (provided that both participants are of a similarly age), Dutch children tend to have their first sexual relationships somewhat later, on average, that their British counterparts.

What makes the difference, here, is the quality of sex and relationship education given to Dutch children and young people and the extent to which Dutch children are empowered to make their informed choices about sex and sexual relationships - its also worth pointing out that teenage pregnancy rates in the Netherlands are less than a tenth those in the United States of America, where the public discourse (and public policy in recent years) on sexual morality and abortion is far more extensively driven by religious interest and religious views on sexual morality.

The morning after pill costs £25 from a chemist and is only free with an appointment from a GP. This can take up to four days, rendering such a solution useless.

Fine, so the answer there is simply to stop charging people £25 a time for it and make it much more widely available.

If you are a 16 year old in full time education or on benefits who realises that you may be pregnant you are faced with spending £25 or chancing your luck, you will probably chance your luck. Addressing the high number of abortions which take place is not just about making statements to ban abortion.

Dramatic gestures such as withholding the holy sacrament from MPs who don’t vote to ban abortion completely will only feed and galvanise the pro choice lobby. The comments made by Cardinal Keith O’Brien make the Roman Catholic Church look extreme and out of step with public opinion.

It is Eye-catching today. However, it is ammunition for the pro choice lobby to use for a long time to come.

See. What did I tell you.

Nadine’s problem with the Catholic Church is that they’ve been basically honest about their position on abortion at a time when other elements of the anti-abortion lobby have decided to try a more subtle and wholly disingenuous approach to achieving much the same basic goals. It amounts to no more that ’shut up, you’re giving the game away.

The pro life lobby has achieved very little since the introduction of the 1967 Act as the rate of abortions continues to increase. It is a fact that the pro choice lobby are winning the battle.

This is another particularly nasty-minded piece of propaganda.

What does referring to the abortion ‘debate’ as a battle imply?

First that there are two opposing sides - ‘pro-life’ and ‘pro-choice’

Second that one can measure the ‘achievements’ (or lack thereof) of one of those sides - ‘pro-life’ - in terms of the rate at which abortions take place in very crude terms. Fewer abortions equals success for the ‘pro-life’ side, more equals failure, thereby implying that success for the ‘pro-choice’ side - ‘winning the battle’ - is the same as there being an increasing abortion rate.

It’s a false dichotomy that tries to present the ‘choice’ between ‘pro-life’ and ‘pro-choice’ as a choice between fewer abortions and more abortions, which is completely untrue. No one who supports women’s right to access abortion services actually wants to see more abortions, they want to see fewer abortions but by a different means.

That actual choice between the two sides is a choice between prohibition (pro-life) and education and widespread access to contraception (pro-choice) but that’s not what Nadine wants you to see because it doesn’t fit the propaganda message on her side. Given the choice between prohibition and education, between being coerced and told what to do and being empowered to make informed decisions and choices, who in Britain, but a religious zealot would choose the former.

I would like to see the debate move away from the argument to ban abortion altogether and to approach the problem from a number of fronts, in a reasonable and considered manner. Free from political and religious dogma.

As I’ve shown, Nadine’s comments throughout this whole article are wrapped up in semantic propaganda and anything but free from political and religious dogma - this is sophistry based on expediency and nothing more.

Unfortunately, I don’t think the Roman Catholic Church has really assisted a great deal in this process.

No, you don’t say…

Maybe the Church could try knocking some big moral stakes into the ground which inform society of its position with regard to sex before marriage.

Or it could drop its dogmatic and entirely counter-productive views on sex education and contraception, which would be considerably more beneficial.

Then again, lets not forget that its only abortion that the Catholic Church are against - pregnancy is less of a problem so long as what you’re producing is more Catholics.

The church could, if it were adventurous enough, once again become a force to set the moral agenda within the communities it serves. But that is much harder work than making a grand statement.Meanwhile another 4200 abortions will take place this week. Maybe if those who wish to ban abortion thought a little harder about the heartache and the tears many of those girls and women will go through this week, not all, I know, but many, then maybe everyone will try just that bit harder to find a realistic solution.

A realistic solution to what, exactly?

You see, if some of the alternatives to abortion were really that much of a better option for women, given adequate information and availability then surely they should stand up on their own without the need for legislation that restricts access to abortion services.

One alternative is certainly better - that’s using contraception and not getting pregnant to begin with - but what of the others?

The only alternatives to abortion, lets not forget, are to have a baby and keep it, or have a baby and give it up for adoption. Neither option is free from long-term consequences and implications - Nadine’s very keen on promoting the idea that abortion leads to an increased risk of depression and mental illness in later life, but how does that compare with, for example, the psychological effects of having given up a child for adoption?

Interestingly, there is a significant amount of literature and official recognition for ‘post adoption depression’ as it affects adoptive parents, but seemingly very little on the effect of adoption on the woman giving up their child and not substantive research, as yet, on either. It seems that its just assumed that both parties get what they want and that’s an end to it.

But is it?

Somehow I doubt it very much, and if we are going to support women to make informed choices and see adoption as a viable alternative to abortion, as some would like, then surely we need to be looking at the effect of adoption on mental health and life outcomes in much the same way as these have been looked at in relation to abortion…

…before we start making changes to the existing law and placing more restrictions on access to abortion of the kind Nadine favours.

If the pro life lobby thought a little more about the pregnant woman, and if the pro choice lobby thought a little more about the baby - if everyone accepted that we don’t live in an ideal world yet, and everyone has to give a little, then maybe we might just begin to get somewhere near a solution that the majority of people who live within this society would like to see. A reduction in the number of abortions carried out each day achieved via a number of measures – a reduction in the upper limit from 24 to 20 weeks and a period of informed consent. Not ideal, I agree, but a massive improvement form where we are today.Whatever way you look at it, it boils down to the Roman Catholic Church blackmailing MPs. Almost as desperate a measure as resorting to a back street abortionist.

And no less desperate than your disingenuous efforts to deploy a wedge strategy to effect restrictions in existing services/rights, Nadine.

The idea that ‘everyone has to give a little’ sounds so seductive doesn’t it. It sounds ‘reasonable’ and ‘moderate’ but it is really?

If parliament does impose a reduction on the upper limit for abortions to 20 weeks, then what have opponents of abortion actually given? Nothing at all - after all they had no realistic prospect of getting the complete or near complete ban on abortions they want in the first place. Such a suggestion appears reasonable - or rather has been contrived to appear reasonable - on because it is presented as an alternative to a position that is entirely unreasonable, i.e. complete prohibition of abortion.

Its a con, just like the suggestion that the ‘pro-life’ lobby have achieved nothing in the last 40 years, even though in that time the upper limit for elective abortions has actually been reduced from the 28 week limit, set in 1967, to the present 24 weeks by the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Act in 1990.

And what about this business of ‘informed consent’, the mandatory ‘cooling off period’ that Nadine wants to impose so women can consider the alternatives to abortion. Will that also apply to adoption services as well? Will they be required to give advice on the availability and accessibility of abortion services so that women can, similarly, make an informed choice having been given information on all the alternatives?

What do you think?

Nadine claims that reducing the upper limit for abortions to 20 weeks gestation will reduce the number of abortions. On what basis does she make that claim? Where is the evidence to support such an assertion?

Reducing the upper limit for abortions to 20 weeks is actually unlikely to have any real impact on the number of abortions carried out for social reasons simply because reducing the upper limit does nothing whatsoever to reduce the need for such abortions, it merely give those who feel that they need an abortion on such grounds a bit less time to make their decision and go ahead with the procedure - and in any case 98% of all abortions in the UK take place before twenty weeks gestation.

If we look at the actual statistics for abortions that take place in the 20-23 week period, two things leap out at you immediately.

First, more than 70% of abortions carried out at this stage of pregnancy are for women aged 20 years and over, with most in the 20-34 age group.

Second, well over half the abortions that take place after 20 weeks gestation are classified under ground (E) of the 1967 Abortion Act, i.e. on grounds that the child would be born with a serious disability; and very few abortions take place, at all, after 24 weeks (around 250 in 2004). In the same year, the number of abortions carried on on women under 20, after 20 weeks gestation, was 824 out of 185,000 legal abortions.

So far as the statistics go, there seems little sign of any substantive evidence to support the idea that such a reduction will automatically lead to a reduction in the number of abortions, so is there, perhaps, any scientific evidence from data on premature births that might support an argument for a reduction in this upper limit?

The current position vis-a-vis survival in premature births is that a foetus born at 25 weeks gestation has a 50% chance of survival - which is fair odds.

At 24 weeks, that falls to 39% - at the current limit for abortions nearly two of every three foetuses born that that stage will die even if you throw even last piece of available medical technology you have to hand at trying to sustain their lives.

At 23 weeks, that figure falls again to 17% and the current record for survival - set last year, is 21 weeks. That one child, by the way, just one - and she suffered both digestive and respiratory problems and a brain haemorrage.

So any argument based on the notion that medical technology is pushing back the boundaries of survival in premature birth amounts to the suggestion that we should limit abortions to 20 weeks gestation just because just one foetus born a week’s gestation later has thus far survived with the assistance of everything within our society’s current medical capabilities.

Is that really a viable basis on which to make policy and legislate for restrictions in access to abortions -because one desperately wanted child beat the odds at 21 weeks?

No, of course it isn’t. It’s an absurd suggestion. Its like suggesting that we should ban air travel because of a single plane crash or ban the motor car because of a single car crash.

So what the actual evidence tells us is that, at best, a reduction in the upper limit on abortions will provide a cut in abortion rates of around 1% and that there’s little or no evidence on what is usually termed ‘viability’ i.e. survival rates in very early premature births to support the contention that we should lower the upper limit because some premature babies survive such early birth with the help of medical technology.

Hardly the ‘massive improvement’ that Nadine claims.

In my limited experience MPs don’t take well to being backed into a corner or having their independence challenged. Not a good move.

Oddly enough, I find that the public doesn’t much appreciate being fed bullshit either.

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I’ve noted previously that one of our local newspapers, the Express and Star, appears to have developed a somewhat remarkable propensity for either ignoring or downplaying local stories that might reflect poorly on the BNP, hence the paper’s coverage of the closure of the Lagoon Public House in Tipton due to, amongst other things, the failure of its landlord to report serious violent incidents that took place in the pub and his subsequent refusal to turn over CCTV footage to the local police, complete failed to mention either that the pub, itself, was effectively the BNP’s local headquarters, or thats landlord, James Lloyd, was a local BNP councillor and leader of the BNP group on Sandwell Council.

So it is that I was hardly surprised to find that another little local interest story relating to this same councillor was, yesterday, quiet buried away in a single column at the foot of page five of the newspaper.

Before getting into the story itself, its worth reflecting on a couple of salient points.

First, in one looks at the BNP’s local election manifesto for this year, one finds that aside from its usual political incoherence - more of which in a moment - it makes the usual authoritarian play on the BNP’s claim to be ‘tough on crime’, albeit that this year’s rhetoric is somewhat more carefully crafted than usual.

We must have strict sentencing. We must support the victims of crime and be harsh with the perpetrators. We in the British National Party are not concerned with the rights of the guilty - they give up their civil rights when they commit crimes against innocent individuals, and hence also against the community. Knife crime and violent crime must attract severe sentencing. Life has become a cheap commodity - those that threaten or take life as a result of thuggish behaviour can expect to be treated accordingly.

Quite why the BNP have sudden come over all coy about their law and order policies - which includes hanging paedophiles and other sex offenders (again there’s more to come on this one) - is anyone’s guess but for all that they’ve taken to using a more euphemistic turn of phrase, then general intent is same as it always was, as was clearl evidenced by another of their sitting councillors and prominent local Holocaust denier, Simon Smith, when he said, that week, that he was ‘no apologist for white working-class scum’ who would be ’swept away’ by a future BNP government. And he may well be sincere in is opinions - he’s certain not prone to apologising from his own stupidity.

Be that as it may, their manifesto makes its usual pitch that the BNP will be tough on crime, hard on criminals and supportive of stiffer sentences, all of which brings me back to the Express and Star and the story that appeared in an altogether non-too-prominent position last night, which simply notes that a Ricky Lloyd, of Tipton, appeared before a local magistrates court, yesterday, on charges of dangerous driving and other motoring offences (expect the usual no licence, insurance or MOT) and was committed then to appear at Wolverhampton Crown Court because the magistrates considered that their powers were insufficient to deal adequately with the offence/offender.

What this amounts to is that magistrates have taken the view that Lloyd’s action, and his prior criminal record, merit a stiffer custodial sentence that could be handed down the magistrate, so they sent him to the Crown Court, where a judge can throw a substantially larger book at him.

Ricky Lloyd, so it turns out, is the oldest son of - yes, you guessed it - local councillor, BNP group leader and failed publican, James Lloyd, and judging on the strength of this story from December 2005, which tells how the same Ricky Lloyd had been committed for trial at Wolverhampton Crown Court on a charge of attempted robbery, its rather as if both the court and the relevant local prison might do well to install a turnstile and provide Lloyd with a season ticket.

Before moving off the subject of the BNP and crime - its a pretty extensive subject, after all - I should note that a rather interesting rumour has come to my attention which, if true (and we may well know either tomorrow or possibly Thursday if it is) will rather put to the test the BNP’s policy on dealing with sex offenders, as my understanding is that in the next day or two a national daily newspaper may well identify a BNP candidate, standing for election in the West Midlands, as having been convicted, some 12-15 years ago, of a serious sex offence - my informant suggests rape, although this is yet to be fully confirmed as the trial, apparently, was moved outside the local area.

More on this, naturally, as and when the full details of the story emerge.

Digging though BNP manifestoes is, of course, a rare treat and well as an excursion into the Twilight Zone in which real policies and common sense are but occasional and all too fleeting visitors - and this latest offering is much the same as ever.

There are a number of particular highlights…

The BNP’s plan to cut council tax by 50% is a lulu. The claim that they’ll be able to do this by removing education ‘budgets’ from local authorities to central government, who will then dispense funding to local areas to pay for schools from a central fund.

There are three obvious problems with this ‘plan’.

First they wouldn’t actually be removing education budgets from local authorities, as the funding they’d get from the central government pool would still be an education ‘budget’ - what they’re actually talking about is taking away the requirement for local authorities to raise part of their education budget from local taxation.

Second, and even more obviously, the mere fact of taking the raising of funds education spending away from local taxation does not mean lower taxes - it just means that you pay the tax somewhere else, so loathe I am to treat the BNP like a real political party rather than the bunch of low-grade moron they are, the question has to be asked as to which central government taxed they intend to raise in order to pay for this and by how much will they go up? In order to pay Paul, which Peter(s) do they intend to rob? Income Tax? VAT? Corporation Tax?

Or are they talking bollocks…

Problem number three follows on from number two - the suggest that council tax will be cut by 50% simply be removing education funding to central government rather presupposes that local authorities actually spend 50% of their council tax revenues on education in the first place. Is this true? Perhaps someone might take the time to either confirm of deny these figures.

The manifesto also includes is obligatory lies and misrepresentations when it comes to immigration: